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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno Betting tips for April 10 in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, 10 April 2025, 00h30 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras Palmeiras
PREDICTION Palmeiras wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno Betting tips for April 10 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno, Thursday, 10/4/2025
📅 10/4/2025
00:30
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1.25
X
5.38
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
10.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-208.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Porteno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $255.0.
👉 In the last 3 Palmeiras matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Cerro Porteno matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno:

Analysis from Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno for the Copa Libertadores – 10 of April

🏟️ Palmeiras X Cerro Porteno – Copa Libertadores
📅 10 of April, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Palmeiras – Winning probability: 95.60% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.26% | Fair line: 30.66
🔴 Cerro Porteno – Winning probability: 1.14% | Fair line: 87.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1300209 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno

Is it a good idea to bet on Palmeiras?

🔵 Palmeiras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $131.40;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$838.60.

Is betting on Cerro Porteno worth it?

🔴 Cerro Porteno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $90.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$900.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Palmeiras and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Palmeiras. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Cerro Porteno

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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