River Plate x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for October 30 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for River Plate x Atletico Mineiro, Wednesday, 30/10/2024

📅 30/10/2024 00:30

River Plate 1.63

X 3.70

Atletico Mineiro 4.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for River Plate x Atletico Mineiro:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for River Plate x Atletico Mineiro

The main points for the tip for River Plate x Atletico Mineiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-207.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 River Plate matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Atletico Mineiro conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on River Plate x Atletico Mineiro?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on River Plate x Atletico Mineiro, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from River Plate x Atletico Mineiro for the Copa Libertadores – 30 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between River Plate and Atletico Mineiro.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212710 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for River Plate x Atletico Mineiro

Is betting on River Plate worth it?

🔵 River Plate: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $422.10;
• And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$92.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $486.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$334.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Mineiro?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $592.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$257.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match River Plate x Atletico Mineiro

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for River Plate x Atletico Mineiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 River Plate and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 River Plate.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Atletico Mineiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for River Plate x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.