Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima Betting tips for April 11 in Copa Libertadores
| 📅 11/4/2025 00:30 |
 Sao Paulo1.36 |
X 4.50 |
Alianza Lima  8.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima:
🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $680.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-340.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima:
Analysis from Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima for the Copa Libertadores – 11 of April
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🏟️ Sao Paulo X Alianza Lima – Copa Libertadores |
When the best bet on Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1300518 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima
Is betting on Sao Paulo worth it?
🔵 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 920 times – profiting $331.20;
- And would lose other 80 times – having a loss of -$80.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$251.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$730.00.
Should you bet on Alianza Lima?
🔴 Alianza Lima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $140.00;
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$840.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Sao Paulo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Sao Paulo.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Alianza Lima
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
