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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Sao Paulo x Botafogo Betting tips for September 25 in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, 25 September 2024, 21h30 Copa Libertadores
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
PREDICTION Sao Paulo wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Botafogo Botafogo
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Sao Paulo x Botafogo Betting tips for September 25 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Sao Paulo x Botafogo, Wednesday, 25/9/2024
📅 25/9/2024
21:30
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2.45
X
3.00
Botafogo Botafogo
2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sao Paulo x Botafogo:

🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Sao Paulo x Botafogo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-8.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sao Paulo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Botafogo has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sao Paulo x Botafogo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sao Paulo x Botafogo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sao Paulo x Botafogo for the Copa Libertadores – 25 of September

🏟️ Sao Paulo X Botafogo – Copa Libertadores
📅 25 of September, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Sao Paulo – Winning probability: 48.82% | Fair line: 2.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.67% | Fair line: 5.08
🔴 Botafogo – Winning probability: 31.51% | Fair line: 3.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sao Paulo and Botafogo.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1189012 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Paulo x Botafogo

Is it worth betting on Sao Paulo?

🔵 Sao Paulo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $710.50;
  • And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔴 Botafogo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $608.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Botafogo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Botafogo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sao Paulo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sao Paulo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sao Paulo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Botafogo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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