Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football Betting tips for August 22 in Copa Libertadores
| 📅 22/8/2024 19:00 |
 Sao Paulo1.53 |
X 3.70 |
Nacional De Football  6.49 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football:
🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $3245.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $187.0. |
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Analysis from Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football for the Copa Libertadores – 22 of August
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🏟️ Sao Paulo X Nacional De Football – Copa Libertadores |
When the best bet on Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1166230 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football
Is betting on Sao Paulo worth it?
🔵 Sao Paulo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $318.00;
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $567.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$223.00.
Should you bet on Nacional De Football?
🔴 Nacional De Football: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $1043.10;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$233.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sao Paulo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Sao Paulo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Nacional De Football.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Nacional De Football
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
