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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Universitario de Deportes x River Plate Betting tips for April 3 in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, 03 April 2025, 00h30 Copa Libertadores
Universitario de Deportes Universitario de Deportes
PREDICTION River Plate Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
River Plate River Plate
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Universitario de Deportes x River Plate Betting tips for April 3 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Universitario de Deportes x River Plate, Thursday, 3/4/2025
📅 3/4/2025
00:30
Universitario de Deportes Universitario de Deportes
3.55
X
3.10
River Plate River Plate
2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Universitario de Deportes x River Plate:

🔮 River Plate wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on River Plate, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Universitario de Deportes x River Plate:

👉 If you had bet $100 on River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 River Plate did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Universitario de Deportes scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 River Plate matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Universitario de Deportes matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 River Plate is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 away matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession.
👉 Universitario de Deportes is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, River Plate has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Universitario de Deportes x River Plate?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Universitario de Deportes x River Plate, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Universitario de Deportes x River Plate for the Copa Libertadores – 3 of April

🏟️ Universitario de Deportes X River Plate – Copa Libertadores
📅 3 of April, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Universitario de Deportes – Winning probability: 20.55% | Fair line: 4.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.21% | Fair line: 7.04
🔴 River Plate – Winning probability: 65.24% | Fair line: 1.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Universitario de Deportes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Universitario de Deportes x River Plate is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universitario de Deportes x River Plate

Is it a good idea to bet on Universitario de Deportes?

🔵 Universitario de Deportes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $535.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$254.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $294.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$566.00.

Is it worth betting on River Plate?

🔴 River Plate: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – profiting $650.00;
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$300.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Universitario de Deportes x River Plate

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Universitario de Deportes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universitario de Deportes x River Plate

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Universitario de Deportes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Universitario de Deportes.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universitario de Deportes x River Plate

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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