Velez Sarsfield x Penarol Betting tips for April 2 in Copa Libertadores
| 📅 2/4/2025 22:00 |
 Velez Sarsfield1.98 |
X 3.10 |
Penarol  3.88 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Velez Sarsfield x Penarol:
🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $990.00!
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The main points for the tip for Velez Sarsfield x Penarol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-187.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Velez Sarsfield x Penarol?
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Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Penarol for the Copa Libertadores – 2 of April
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🏟️ Velez Sarsfield X Penarol – Copa Libertadores |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Velez Sarsfield and Penarol.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Velez Sarsfield x Penarol
Is it a good idea to bet on Velez Sarsfield?
🔵 Velez Sarsfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $676.20
- And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$366.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $294.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$566.00.
Is it worth betting on Penarol?
🔴 Penarol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $460.80;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$379.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Penarol
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Penarol
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Velez Sarsfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Velez Sarsfield.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Velez Sarsfield.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Penarol
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
