Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club Betting tips for September 19 in Copa Sudamericana
| 📅 19/9/2024 21:30 |
 Athletico Paranaense2.15 |
X 3.15 |
Racing Club  3.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club:
🔮 Racing Club wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Racing Club, you can win up to $1700.00!
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The main points for the tip for Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0. |
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Analysis from Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club for the Copa Sudamericana – 19 of September
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🏟️ Athletico Paranaense X Racing Club – Copa Sudamericana |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club
Is it a good idea to bet on Athletico Paranaense?
🔵 Athletico Paranaense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $471.50
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $387.00
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$433.00.
Is betting on Racing Club worth it?
🔴 Racing Club: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $984.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$394.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Athletico Paranaense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Athletico Paranaense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Racing Club.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletico Paranaense x Racing Club
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
