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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Boston River x Guarani Asuncion Betting tips for April 1 in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, 01 April 2025, 22h00 Copa Sudamericana
Boston River Boston River
PREDICTION Boston River wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Guarani Asuncion Guarani Asuncion
ODD: @2.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Boston River x Guarani Asuncion Betting tips for April 1 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Boston River x Guarani Asuncion, Tuesday, 1/4/2025
📅 1/4/2025
22:00
Boston River Boston River
2.27
X
3.00
Guarani Asuncion Guarani Asuncion
3.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Boston River x Guarani Asuncion:

🔮 Boston River wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Boston River, you can win up to $1135.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Boston River x Guarani Asuncion:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $733.0.
👉 In the last 3 Guarani Asuncion matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Boston River x Guarani Asuncion for the Copa Sudamericana – 1 of April

🏟️ Boston River X Guarani Asuncion – Copa Sudamericana
📅 1 of April, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Boston River – Winning probability: 51.54% | Fair line: 1.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.27% | Fair line: 5.19
🔴 Guarani Asuncion – Winning probability: 29.19% | Fair line: 3.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Boston River
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Boston River and Guarani Asuncion.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294595 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Boston River x Guarani Asuncion

Is betting on Boston River worth it?

🔵 Boston River: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $660.40;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$180.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $380.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Should you bet on Guarani Asuncion?

🔴 Guarani Asuncion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $672.80
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$37.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Boston River x Guarani Asuncion

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Boston River
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Boston River x Guarani Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Boston River, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Boston River.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Guarani Asuncion.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Boston River x Guarani Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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