Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia Betting tips for April 4 in Copa Sudamericana
| 📅 4/4/2025 00:30 |
 Cerro Largo3.50 |
X 3.10 |
Defensa y Justicia  2.07 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia:
🔮 Defensa y Justicia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Defensa y Justicia, you can win up to $1035.00!
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Important information for your tip for Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Largo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-84.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia:
Analysis from Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia for the Copa Sudamericana – 4 of April
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🏟️ Cerro Largo X Defensa y Justicia – Copa Sudamericana |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1294791 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia
Should you bet on Cerro Largo?
🔵 Cerro Largo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $357.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$473.00.
Should you bet on Defensa y Justicia?
🔴 Defensa y Justicia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $599.20
- And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$159.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cerro Largo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Cerro Largo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Cerro Largo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Cerro Largo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Largo x Defensa y Justicia
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
