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Home » Predictions » Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi Betting tips for April 11 in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, 11 April 2025, 00h30 Copa Sudamericana
Club Guarani Club Guarani
PREDICTION Club Guarani wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi Betting tips for April 11 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi, Friday, 11/4/2025
📅 11/4/2025
00:30
Club Guarani Club Guarani
1.37
X
4.50
Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi
8.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi:

🔮 Club Guarani wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Guarani, you can win up to $685.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional Potosi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $8.0.
👉 In the last 3 Nacional Potosi matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi for the Copa Sudamericana – 11 of April

🏟️ Club Guarani X Nacional Potosi – Copa Sudamericana
📅 11 of April, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Club Guarani – Winning probability: 93.17% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.52% | Fair line: 18.13
🔴 Nacional Potosi – Winning probability: 1.31% | Fair line: 76.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Club Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1300518 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi

Is it worth betting on Club Guarani?

🔵 Club Guarani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $344.10;
  • And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$274.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$730.00.

Should you bet on Nacional Potosi?

🔴 Nacional Potosi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $77.50
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$912.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Club Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Club Guarani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Club Guarani.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Club Guarani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Guarani x Nacional Potosi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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