Corinthians x Fortaleza Betting tips for September 24 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Fortaleza, Tuesday, 24/9/2024

📅 24/9/2024 21:30

Corinthians 2.50

X 3.20

Fortaleza 2.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Corinthians x Fortaleza:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Corinthians x Fortaleza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $68.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Corinthians x Fortaleza, with Corinthians as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Corinthians matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fortaleza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Corinthians is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Corinthians has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fortaleza playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Fortaleza?

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Analysis from Corinthians x Fortaleza for the Copa Sudamericana – 24 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corinthians x Fortaleza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1188816 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Corinthians x Fortaleza

Is it worth betting on Corinthians?

🔵 Corinthians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 630 times – profiting $945.00;
• And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$575.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $286.00
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$584.00.

Should you bet on Fortaleza?

🔴 Fortaleza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$310.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Fortaleza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Fortaleza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Corinthians, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Corinthians.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Corinthians.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Fortaleza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.