Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors Betting tips for August 22 in Copa Sudamericana
| 📅 22/8/2024 21:30 |
 Cruzeiro2.05 |
X 3.10 |
Boca Juniors  3.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors:
🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $1025.00!
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The main points for the tip for Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0. |
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Analysis from Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors for the Copa Sudamericana – 22 of August
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🏟️ Cruzeiro X Boca Juniors – Copa Sudamericana |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1166230 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors
Should you bet on Cruzeiro?
🔵 Cruzeiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 620 times – profiting $651.00;
- And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$271.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.
Is it worth betting on Boca Juniors?
🔴 Boca Juniors: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $378.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$482.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cruzeiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cruzeiro.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Boca Juniors
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
