Cruzeiro x Lanus Betting tips for October 23 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Lanus, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 22:00

Cruzeiro 1.70

X 3.49

Lanus 4.73

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cruzeiro x Lanus:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $850.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Cruzeiro x Lanus: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Cruzeiro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lanus conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cruzeiro x Lanus?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cruzeiro x Lanus, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Lanus for the Copa Sudamericana – 23 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruzeiro x Lanus right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Lanus

Should you bet on Cruzeiro?

🔵 Cruzeiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $574.00;
• And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$394.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $224.10;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$685.90.

Is betting on Lanus worth it?

🔴 Lanus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $335.70;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$574.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Lanus

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Lanus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cruzeiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Cruzeiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Lanus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Lanus

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.