FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for April 2 in Copa Sudamericana
| 📅 2/4/2025 22:00 |
 FBC Melgar2.38 |
X 3.10 |
Vasco da Gama  2.82 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama:
🔮 FBC Melgar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FBC Melgar, you can win up to $1190.00!
🔮 Vasco da Gama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vasco da Gama, you can win up to $1410.00!
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The main points for the tip for FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FBC Melgar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $157.0. |
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Analysis from FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama for the Copa Sudamericana – 2 of April
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🏟️ FBC Melgar X Vasco da Gama – Copa Sudamericana |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FBC Melgar and Vasco da Gama.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama
Should you bet on FBC Melgar?
🔵 FBC Melgar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $731.40;
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$261.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $294.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$566.00.
Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?
🔴 Vasco da Gama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $582.40;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$97.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FBC Melgar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FBC Melgar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FBC Melgar.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FBC Melgar x Vasco da Gama
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
