Fortaleza x Corinthians Betting tips for September 17 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Corinthians, Tuesday, 17/9/2024

📅 17/9/2024 21:30

Fortaleza 1.85

X 3.30

Corinthians 4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza x Corinthians:

🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $925.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Fortaleza x Corinthians: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Corinthians, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Corinthians conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Fortaleza is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Fortaleza has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Corinthians. 👉 It is not a good time for Corinthians as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Fortaleza x Corinthians for the Copa Sudamericana – 17 of September

When the best bet on Fortaleza x Corinthians is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1182288 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Corinthians

Should you bet on Fortaleza?

🔵 Fortaleza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $527.00;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$147.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $437.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Is it worth betting on Corinthians?

🔴 Corinthians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $632.70;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$177.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Corinthians

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Fortaleza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Fortaleza.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.