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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Independiente Medellin x Lanus Betting tips for September 25 in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, 25 September 2024, 21h30 Copa Sudamericana
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
PREDICTION Independiente Medellin wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Lanus Lanus
ODD: @2.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Medellin x Lanus Betting tips for September 25 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Independiente Medellin x Lanus, Wednesday, 25/9/2024
📅 25/9/2024
21:30
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
2.53
X
3.10
Lanus Lanus
2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Independiente Medellin x Lanus:

🔮 Independiente Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Medellin, you can win up to $1265.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Independiente Medellin x Lanus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Independiente Medellin x Lanus?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Independiente Medellin x Lanus:

Analysis from Independiente Medellin x Lanus for the Copa Sudamericana – 25 of September

🏟️ Independiente Medellin X Lanus – Copa Sudamericana
📅 25 of September, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Independiente Medellin – Winning probability: 42.18% | Fair line: 2.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.52% | Fair line: 3.63
🔴 Lanus – Winning probability: 30.30% | Fair line: 3.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Independiente Medellin and Lanus.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1189012 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Lanus

Should you bet on Independiente Medellin?

🔵 Independiente Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $642.60;
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$62.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Should you bet on Lanus?

🔴 Lanus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $516.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Medellin x Lanus

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Lanus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Independiente Medellin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Independiente Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Independiente Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Medellin x Lanus

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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