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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Lanus x Cruzeiro Betting tips for October 30 in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 22h00 Copa Sudamericana
Lanus Lanus
PREDICTION Lanus wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Lanus x Cruzeiro Betting tips for October 30 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Lanus x Cruzeiro, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
22:00
Lanus Lanus
2.45
X
3.04
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lanus x Cruzeiro:

🔮 Lanus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lanus, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lanus x Cruzeiro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 Lanus did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Cruzeiro did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 Lanus matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lanus x Cruzeiro?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lanus x Cruzeiro:

Analysis from Lanus x Cruzeiro for the Copa Sudamericana – 30 of October

🏟️ Lanus X Cruzeiro – Copa Sudamericana
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Lanus – Winning probability: 53.40% | Fair line: 1.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.22% | Fair line: 4.5
🔴 Cruzeiro – Winning probability: 24.38% | Fair line: 4.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lanus x Cruzeiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lanus x Cruzeiro

Is betting on Lanus worth it?

🔵 Lanus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $768.50;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$298.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $448.80;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$331.20.

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

🔴 Cruzeiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$304.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x Cruzeiro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lanus x Cruzeiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lanus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Lanus.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Lanus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x Cruzeiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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