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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Lanus x FBC Melgar Betting tips for April 10 in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, 10 April 2025, 00h30 Copa Sudamericana
Lanus Lanus
PREDICTION Lanus wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Lanus x FBC Melgar Betting tips for April 10 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Lanus x FBC Melgar, Thursday, 10/4/2025
📅 10/4/2025
00:30
Lanus Lanus
1.54
X
3.80
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
5.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lanus x FBC Melgar:

🔮 Lanus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lanus, you can win up to $770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lanus x FBC Melgar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-189.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FBC Melgar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $580.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FBC Melgar scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lanus x FBC Melgar?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lanus x FBC Melgar:

Analysis from Lanus x FBC Melgar for the Copa Sudamericana – 10 of April

🏟️ Lanus X FBC Melgar – Copa Sudamericana
📅 10 of April, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Lanus – Winning probability: 87.53% | Fair line: 1.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.09% | Fair line: 12.36
🔴 FBC Melgar – Winning probability: 4.38% | Fair line: 22.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lanus and FBC Melgar.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1300209 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lanus x FBC Melgar

Is it worth betting on Lanus?

🔵 Lanus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$355.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $224.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$696.00.

Is it worth betting on FBC Melgar?

🔴 FBC Melgar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $182.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$778.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x FBC Melgar

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lanus x FBC Melgar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Lanus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Lanus.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 FBC Melgar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x FBC Melgar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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