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Home ยป Predictions ยป Copa Sulamericana ยป Lanus x Independiente Medellin Betting tips for September 18 in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 21h30 Copa Sudamericana
Lanus Lanus
PREDICTION Lanus wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Lanus x Independiente Medellin Betting tips for September 18 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Lanus x Independiente Medellin, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/9/2024
21:30
Lanus Lanus
1.75
X
3.36
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
4.57

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lanus x Independiente Medellin:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lanus wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lanus, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lanus x Independiente Medellin:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lanus scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lanus conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Independiente Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lanus x Independiente Medellin?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lanus x Independiente Medellin:

Analysis from Lanus x Independiente Medellin for the Copa Sudamericana – 18 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lanus X Independiente Medellin – Copa Sudamericana
๐Ÿ“… 18 of September, 2024 – 21:30
๐Ÿ”ต Lanus – Winning probability: 68.03% | Fair line: 1.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.81% | Fair line: 4.81
๐Ÿ”ด Independiente Medellin – Winning probability: 11.16% | Fair line: 8.96
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lanus
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lanus x Independiente Medellin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184048 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lanus x Independiente Medellin

Should you bet on Lanus?

๐Ÿ”ต Lanus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $495.60;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$294.40.

Is betting on Independiente Medellin worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Independiente Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $392.70;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$497.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x Independiente Medellin

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lanus
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lanus x Independiente Medellin

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lanus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Lanus.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Independiente Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x Independiente Medellin

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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