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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro Betting tips for September 19 in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, 19 September 2024, 21h30 Copa Sudamericana
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
PREDICTION Cruzeiro Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
ODD: @2.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro Betting tips for September 19 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro, Thursday, 19/9/2024
📅 19/9/2024
21:30
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
2.71
X
3.00
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $1300.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro for the Copa Sudamericana – 19 of September

🏟️ Libertad Asuncion X Cruzeiro – Copa Sudamericana
📅 19 of September, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Libertad Asuncion – Winning probability: 27.97% | Fair line: 3.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.95% | Fair line: 3.58
🔴 Cruzeiro – Winning probability: 44.08% | Fair line: 2.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Libertad Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Libertad Asuncion and Cruzeiro.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro

Is it worth betting on Libertad Asuncion?

🔵 Libertad Asuncion: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $478.80;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

🔴 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $704.00;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$144.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Libertad Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Libertad Asuncion and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Libertad Asuncion.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Libertad Asuncion x Cruzeiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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