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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Mushuc Runa x Palestino Betting tips for April 4 in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, 04 April 2025, 02h00 Copa Sudamericana
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
PREDICTION Mushuc Runa wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Palestino Palestino
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Mushuc Runa x Palestino Betting tips for April 4 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Mushuc Runa x Palestino, Friday, 4/4/2025
📅 4/4/2025
02:00
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
1.75
X
3.50
Palestino Palestino
4.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mushuc Runa x Palestino:

🔮 Mushuc Runa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mushuc Runa, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Mushuc Runa x Palestino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mushuc Runa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $43.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Palestino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Mushuc Runa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Palestino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mushuc Runa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Palestino conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Mushuc Runa x Palestino?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mushuc Runa x Palestino:

Analysis from Mushuc Runa x Palestino for the Copa Sudamericana – 4 of April

🏟️ Mushuc Runa X Palestino – Copa Sudamericana
📅 4 of April, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Mushuc Runa – Winning probability: 83.42% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.18% | Fair line: 12.22
🔴 Palestino – Winning probability: 8.39% | Fair line: 11.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mushuc Runa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Mushuc Runa x Palestino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1294791 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mushuc Runa x Palestino

Is it a good idea to bet on Mushuc Runa?

🔵 Mushuc Runa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $622.50;
  • And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$452.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $200.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Should you bet on Palestino?

🔴 Palestino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $266.40
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$653.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Mushuc Runa x Palestino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mushuc Runa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mushuc Runa x Palestino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Mushuc Runa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Mushuc Runa.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mushuc Runa x Palestino

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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