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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano Betting tips for May 28 in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, 28 May 2026, 00h30 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
PREDICTION Audax Italiano Wins Probability 21% 1 X 2
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
ODD: @4.22
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Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano Betting tips for May 28 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano, Thursday, 28/5/2026
📅 28/5/2026
00:30
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
1.73
X
3.60
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
4.22

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano:

🔮 Audax Italiano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Audax Italiano, you can win up to $2110.00!

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The main points for the tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Olimpia Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $62.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Audax Italiano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $415.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Olimpia Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Olimpia Asuncion conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Audax Italiano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano for the Copa Sudamericana – 28 of May

🏟️ Olimpia Asuncion X Audax Italiano – Copa Sudamericana
📅 28 of May, 2026 – 00:30
🔵 Olimpia Asuncion – Winning probability: 53.88% | Fair line: 1.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.65% | Fair line: 4.06
🔴 Audax Italiano – Winning probability: 21.47% | Fair line: 4.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 The odds for Olimpia Asuncion had a great Decreased of -11.89%: the market opened with odds of @1.833 for Olimpia Asuncion and now the odds are @1.615.
📊 The odds for Draw had a great Raised of 11.11%: the market opened with odds of @3.6 for Draw and now the odds are @4.0.
📊 The odds for Audax Italiano had a huge Raised of 37.50%: the market opened with odds of @4.0 for Audax Italiano and now the odds are @5.5.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.50 is now at -0.75 for Olimpia Asuncion.
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.75 and now is at 2.50 goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1552494 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it a good idea to bet on Olimpia Asuncion?

🔵 Olimpia Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $394.20;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$65.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $650.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Should you bet on Audax Italiano?

🔴 Audax Italiano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $676.20;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$113.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Olimpia Asuncion and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Olimpia Asuncion.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Audax Italiano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano?

From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Olimpia Asuncion, with a win probability of 53.88%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!

Who will win: Olimpia Asuncion or Audax Italiano?

There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Olimpia Asuncion has the better chance to win, with a probability of 53.88%. If you choose to back Olimpia Asuncion, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Olimpia Asuncion beating Audax Italiano today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Olimpia Asuncion would take victory in roughly 54 of them versus Audax Italiano.

What are the chances of Audax Italiano beating Olimpia Asuncion today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Audax Italiano to win approximately 21 of them against Olimpia Asuncion.

Which team should I bet on: Olimpia Asuncion or Audax Italiano?

A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: Audax Italiano Wins, with a positive expected value of 18.03%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!

How much is Olimpia Asuncion paying today? See what you can win by betting on Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano:

The average odds for Olimpia Asuncion to beat Audax Italiano today are 1.73. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1730.00 if Olimpia Asuncion wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

How much is Audax Italiano paying today? See what you can win by betting on Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano:

The odds for Audax Italiano to beat Olimpia Asuncion today are around 4.22. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh4220.00 if Audax Italiano wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Which bookmaker is best for the match Olimpia Asuncion x Audax Italiano?

To bet on the match between Olimpia Asuncion and Audax Italiano, we recommend using licensed and reputable bookmakers. Here are three bookmakers we suggest for this fixture:

Always gamble responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves