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Home » Predictions » Copa Sulamericana » Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio Betting tips for April 3 in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, 03 April 2025, 00h30 Copa Sudamericana
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
PREDICTION Gremio Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Gremio Gremio
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction!

Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio Betting tips for April 3 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio, Thursday, 3/4/2025
📅 3/4/2025
00:30
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
5.20
X
3.60
Gremio Gremio
1.66

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio:

🔮 Gremio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio, you can win up to $830.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Luqueno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Gremio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Gremio received red cards in the last 5 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio for the Copa Sudamericana – 3 of April

🏟️ Sportivo Luqueno X Gremio – Copa Sudamericana
📅 3 of April, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Sportivo Luqueno – Winning probability: 7.14% | Fair line: 14.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.09% | Fair line: 9.02
🔴 Gremio – Winning probability: 81.77% | Fair line: 1.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sportivo Luqueno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sportivo Luqueno and Gremio.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1294791 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio

Is it worth betting on Sportivo Luqueno?

🔵 Sportivo Luqueno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $294.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$636.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $286.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$604.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gremio?

🔴 Gremio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $541.20
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$361.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sportivo Luqueno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Sportivo Luqueno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Sportivo Luqueno.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Gremio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Luqueno x Gremio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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