Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas Betting tips for March 7 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas, Friday, 7/3/2025

📅 7/3/2025 02:00

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1.62

X 3.72

SD Aucas 4.96

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas:

🔮 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, you can win up to $810.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on SD Aucas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against SD Aucas, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas, with Universidad Catolica del Ecuador as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, SD Aucas conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against SD Aucas.

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Analysis from Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas for the Copa Sudamericana – 7 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1276025 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas

Should you bet on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

🔵 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 800 times – profiting $496.00;
• And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $244.80;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$665.20.

Is betting on SD Aucas worth it?

🔴 SD Aucas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $435.60
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$454.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x SD Aucas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.