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Home Β» Predictions Β» Cruz Azul x Club America Betting tips for December 9 in Mexico Liga MX
Monday, 09 December 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
PREDICTION No tip
Club America Club America
Don't miss this prediction!

Cruz Azul x Club America Betting tips for December 9 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Cruz Azul x Club America, Monday, 9/12/2024
πŸ“… 9/12/2024
01:00
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
2.20
X
3.20
Club America Club America
3.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruz Azul x Club America:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cruz Azul x Club America

Some important points for the tip for Cruz Azul x Club America:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $13.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Club America, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Cruz Azul conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Club America.
πŸ‘‰ Cruz Azul is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cruz Azul x Club America for the Mexico Liga MX – 9 of December

🏟️ Cruz Azul X Club America – Mexico Liga MX
πŸ“… 9 of December, 2024 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ Cruz Azul – Winning probability: 45.05% | Fair line: 2.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.75% | Fair line: 3.48
πŸ”΄ Club America – Winning probability: 26.21% | Fair line: 3.82
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cruz Azul and Club America.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1234007 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Club America

Is it worth betting on Cruz Azul?

πŸ”΅ Cruz Azul: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $638.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$72.00.

Is betting on Club America worth it?

πŸ”΄ Club America: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $551.20
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$188.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cruz Azul x Club America

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Club America

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Cruz Azul and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cruz Azul.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Club America.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruz Azul x Club America

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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