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Home ยป Predictions ยป Cruz Azul x Juarez FC Betting tips for October 24 in Mexico Liga MX
Thursday, 24 October 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
PREDICTION Cruz Azul wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Juarez FC Juarez FC
ODD: @1.29 Don't miss this prediction!

Cruz Azul x Juarez FC Betting tips for October 24 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC, Thursday, 24/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/10/2024
01:00
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1.29
X
5.05
Juarez FC Juarez FC
8.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cruz Azul wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruz Azul, you can win up to $645.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Juarez FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $48.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Juarez FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Juarez FC, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul x Juarez FC, with Cruz Azul as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Cruz Azul is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Cruz Azul has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Juarez FC.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cruz Azul x Juarez FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cruz Azul x Juarez FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cruz Azul x Juarez FC for the Mexico Liga MX – 24 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cruz Azul X Juarez FC – Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 24 of October, 2024 – 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cruz Azul – Winning probability: 93.47% | Fair line: 1.07
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.85% | Fair line: 25.95
๐Ÿ”ด Juarez FC – Winning probability: 2.68% | Fair line: 37.3
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cruz Azul
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC

Is it worth betting on Cruz Azul?

๐Ÿ”ต Cruz Azul: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $269.70;
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$199.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $162.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$798.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Juarez FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Juarez FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $228.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$742.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cruz Azul x Juarez FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cruz Azul
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cruz Azul and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Cruz Azul.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Juarez FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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