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Home » Predictions » Cruz Azul x Leon Betting tips for April 16 in Mexico Liga MX
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 03h05 Mexico Liga MX
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
PREDICTION Cruz Azul wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Leon Leon
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Cruz Azul x Leon Betting tips for April 16 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Cruz Azul x Leon, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
03:05
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1.62
X
3.80
Leon Leon
5.01

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cruz Azul x Leon:

🔮 Cruz Azul wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruz Azul, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Cruz Azul x Leon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $236.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Leon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Leon, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Cruz Azul matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Leon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cruz Azul is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Cruz Azul has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Leon.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cruz Azul x Leon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cruz Azul x Leon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cruz Azul x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 16 of April

🏟️ Cruz Azul X Leon – Mexico Liga MX
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 03:05
🔵 Cruz Azul – Winning probability: 72.60% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.28% | Fair line: 6.54
🔴 Leon – Winning probability: 12.11% | Fair line: 8.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cruz Azul and Leon.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304535 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruz Azul x Leon

Is it worth betting on Cruz Azul?

🔵 Cruz Azul: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $452.60;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$182.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leon?

🔴 Leon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $481.20;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$398.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruz Azul x Leon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Leon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Cruz Azul, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Cruz Azul.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Cruz Azul.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruz Azul x Leon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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