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Home » Predictions » Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 03h05 Mexico Liga MX
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 27% 1 X 2
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
ODD: @3.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
03:05
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
1.95
X
3.56
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
3.42

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1780.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $286.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-112.0.
👉 Cruz Azul did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL, with Cruz Azul as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Cruz Azul is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL:

Analysis from Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL for the Mexico Liga MX – 10 of November

🏟️ Cruz Azul X Tigres UANL – Mexico Liga MX
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 03:05
🔵 Cruz Azul – Winning probability: 51.99% | Fair line: 1.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.49% | Fair line: 3.64
🔴 Tigres UANL – Winning probability: 20.52% | Fair line: 4.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218775 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL

Is it a good idea to bet on Cruz Azul?

🔵 Cruz Azul: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $691.20;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$38.80.

Should you bet on Tigres UANL?

🔴 Tigres UANL: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $508.20;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$281.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cruz Azul, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cruz Azul.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Tigres UANL.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruz Azul x Tigres UANL

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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