Arsenal x Aston Villa Betting tips for December 30 in England Premier League
| 📅 30/12/2025 20:15 |
 Arsenal1.46 |
X 4.20 |
Aston Villa  7.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arsenal x Aston Villa:
🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $730.00!
🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $3500.00!
The main points for the tip for Arsenal x Aston Villa:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $457.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Aston Villa scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Aston Villa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Arsenal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Aston Villa.
👉 Arsenal is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.
👉 Aston Villa is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.
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Analysis from Arsenal x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 30 of December
🏟️ Arsenal X Aston Villa – England Premier League
📅 30 of December, 2025 – 20:15
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 70.77% | Fair line: 1.41
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.51% | Fair line: 7.4
🔴 Aston Villa – Winning probability: 15.72% | Fair line: 6.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Arsenal x Aston Villa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1456398 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal x Aston Villa
Is it worth betting on Arsenal?
🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $326.60;
- And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$36.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$412.00.
Is betting on Aston Villa worth it?
🔴 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $960.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Aston Villa
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Aston Villa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Arsenal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Arsenal.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Aston Villa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Aston Villa
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
