Arsenal x Chelsea Betting tips for April 23 in England Premier League
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23/4/2024 19:00 |
 Arsenal1.50 |
X 4.50 |
Chelsea  5.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arsenal x Chelsea:
๐ฎ Arsenal wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $750.00!
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Important information for your tip for Arsenal x Chelsea: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-144.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Arsenal x Chelsea?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Arsenal x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 23 of April
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๐๏ธ Arsenal X Chelsea – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arsenal x Chelsea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1104443 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Chelsea
Should you bet on Arsenal?
๐ต Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $390.00;
- And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$170.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $560.00;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$280.00.
Is it worth betting on Chelsea?
๐ด Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $276.00
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$664.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Chelsea
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Arsenal
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Chelsea
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Arsenal.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Chelsea
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
