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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Arsenal x Everton Betting tips for December 14 in England Premier League
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Arsenal Arsenal
PREDICTION Arsenal wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Everton Everton
ODD: @1.24 Don't miss this prediction!

Arsenal x Everton Betting tips for December 14 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Everton, Saturday, 14/12/2024
📅 14/12/2024
15:00
Arsenal Arsenal
1.24
X
6.00
Everton Everton
11.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arsenal x Everton:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $620.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Arsenal x Everton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 Arsenal did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Everton did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 2.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Everton, Arsenal scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Arsenal is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Arsenal has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Everton.

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Summary

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Analysis from Arsenal x Everton for the England Premier League – 14 of December

🏟️ Arsenal X Everton – England Premier League
📅 14 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 95.43% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.83% | Fair line: 26.11
🔴 Everton – Winning probability: 0.74% | Fair line: 135.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arsenal and Everton.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236358 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Everton

Is betting on Arsenal worth it?

🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – this would give you a profit of $228.00
  • And would lose other 50 times – losing -$50.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$178.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $200.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$760.00.

Is betting on Everton worth it?

🔴 Everton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $100.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$890.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Everton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Everton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Arsenal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Arsenal.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Everton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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