Arsenal x Liverpool Betting tips for January 8 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Liverpool, Thursday, 8/1/2026

📅 8/1/2026 20:00

Arsenal 1.61

X 4.10

Liverpool 5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arsenal x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Liverpool:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $232.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Arsenal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Arsenal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Liverpool.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Liverpool has not lost any of them.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Lets analyze the match between Arsenal and Liverpool at Emirates Stadium, home of Arsenal, which is a modern stadium with excellent facilities for the home team. Arsenal is in a spectacular form at home, with 5 wins in their last 5 matches at their stadium, averaging nearly 4 goals per game (19 goals in 5 matches) and conceding just over 2 goals per game (11 goals). Liverpool has a solid away performance, with no losses in their last 5 away matches, but fewer wins (3) and a lower average of goals scored (10 in 5 matches).

The implied probabilities of median odds are: Arsenal win ~61.7%, draw ~24.7%, Liverpool win ~19.6%. After normalization to total 100%, the approximate fair probabilities are: Arsenal: 61%, Draw: 24%, Liverpool: 15%.

Analyzing recent offensive and defensive stats of the teams in the Premier League:

• Arsenal: High average of favorable shots (19), good ball possession (60%), strong attack with an average of two goals per home game.
• Liverpool: Lower offensive volume away (11 shots), reasonable possession (57%), but relatively solid defense.

Adjusting the fair odds considering Arsenals offensive strength at Emirates against Liverpools visiting defense, plus the extra motivation from the recent news — such as the exciting victory against Bournemouth — we can estimate fair odds for Arsenals win close to 1.55. For a draw, since both teams have quality but Liverpool hasnt lost away recently, fair odds are around 4.0. For Liverpools win, given the historical difficulty against a strong leader playing well at home, fair odds could be around 6.0.

Using the final odds to calculate expected values:

• Arsenal Win: EV ≈ +2%
• Draw: EV ≈ -40% (strong negative);
• Liverpool Win: EV ≈ +20% (interesting positive).

Thus, we have two bets with positive expected value according to this analysis: Arsenal win (+2%) and Liverpool win (+20%). However, the higher expected value is on the surprising visitor victory bet.

📰
Recent news shows Arsenal is on track for the title after an exciting comeback against Bournemouth; Liverpool faces tactical criticism after a recent controversial draw and is seeking important defensive reinforcements — which could negatively impact their performance at this moment.

📈
In the current Premier League table updated until January 2026, Arsenal comfortably leads, opening a six-point gap over their direct rivals while maintaining a recent unbeaten streak; this gives the team great confidence playing at Emirates Stadium.

The betting model from Bets Kenya indicates higher positive value on the away win (~9%), but I partially disagree because despite recent tactical difficulties, they are still strong opponents away; however, my analysis suggests caution as betting on their victory involves high risk due to Arsenals clear superiority playing in front of their home crowd.

Final suggestion:

• Moderately bet on Liverpools victory for good returns given the high expected value;
• However, betting on Arsenals natural favoritism is also safe given their exceptional form;
• We avoid bets on the draw due to low positive expectation.

#Bets #PremierLeague #ArsenalVsLiverpool ⚽🔥💰

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Analysis from Arsenal x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 8 of January

The latest news about Arsenal x Liverpool

Arsenal: Arsenal continued their title chase with a 3-2 away victory against Bournemouth on January 3, 2026, opening a six-point lead at the top of the Premier League after Declan Rice scored two goals in the second half and Gabriel recovered from an initial mistake to equalize before the Gunners secured the win; coach Mikel Arteta, excited about the triumph, encouraged the new signing Viktor Gyokeres and the squad to embrace the noise around the title pursuit, emphasizing that the teams ability to find an extra rhythm in the second half will be crucial to maintaining the lead over Manchester City.

Liverpool: Liverpools recent 2-2 draw with Fulham at Craven Cottage, which featured a controversial offside goal by Florian Wirtz validated after VAR review, reignited criticism of Arne Slots tactical setup, with commentators and former players warning that the team needs to score more goals and improve balance after a sharp decline in goal difference to just +4; the club is also linked to a £43 million offer for defender Joel Ordonez from Club Brugge, while Mohamed Salah is expected to stay at Liverpool beyond the January transfer window despite external interest.

Table analysis for the game between Arsenal and Liverpool

Arsenal: Arsenal is leading the Premier League with 48 points, 6 points ahead of the second-placed team. This match against Liverpool is crucial as it can further increase the lead at the top of the table, bringing the team closer to the title. Every point counts in this final stretch to maintain the lead and secure a direct spot in the Champions League. Therefore, this game is extremely important for Arsenal.

Liverpool: Liverpool is in 4th place with 34 points, seeking a spot in the Champions League. With a 14-point gap to the leader Arsenal, this game is an important opportunity for the team to reduce that distance and keep the fight for European competition spots alive. The match is decisive for Liverpool to strengthen its position in the G4 and maintain real title chances, making this confrontation quite significant.

Summary: This game is crucial for both teams: Arsenal wants to increase its lead towards the title, while Liverpool needs a victory to keep alive the chance of winning the Premier League and securing a direct spot in the Champions League. 🔥⚽

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal x Liverpool

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arsenal x Liverpool right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460349 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $408.70;
• And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$78.70. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $403.00
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$467.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Liverpool?

🔴 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $800.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$0.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Liverpool

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Arsenal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Liverpool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.