Arsenal x Liverpool Betting tips for October 27 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Liverpool, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 16:30

Arsenal 2.08

X 3.50

Liverpool 3.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arsenal x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $1625.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Arsenal x Liverpool: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $366.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Arsenal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Liverpool. 👉 Arsenal is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Liverpool is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Arsenal x Liverpool?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Arsenal x Liverpool:

Analysis from Arsenal x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 27 of October

When the best bet on Arsenal x Liverpool is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209557 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal x Liverpool

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $432.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$168.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.00.

Is betting on Liverpool worth it?

🔴 Liverpool: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $900.00
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$300.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Liverpool

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Arsenal.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.