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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Arsenal x Manchester City Betting tips for February 2 in England Premier League
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h30 England Premier League
Arsenal Arsenal
PREDICTION Arsenal wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Manchester City Manchester City
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Arsenal x Manchester City Betting tips for February 2 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Manchester City, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
16:30
Arsenal Arsenal
2.05
X
3.50
Manchester City Manchester City
3.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arsenal x Manchester City:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $1025.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Arsenal x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-258.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Manchester City, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Arsenal matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Arsenal x Manchester City?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Arsenal x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 2 of February

🏟️ Arsenal X Manchester City – England Premier League
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 76.60% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.98% | Fair line: 9.11
🔴 Manchester City – Winning probability: 12.43% | Fair line: 8.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arsenal and Manchester City.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal x Manchester City

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $808.50
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$578.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $275.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$615.00.

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$592.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Manchester City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Arsenal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Arsenal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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