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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Arsenal x Manchester United Betting tips for December 4 in England Premier League
Wednesday, 04 December 2024, 20h15 England Premier League
Arsenal Arsenal
PREDICTION Arsenal wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Manchester United Manchester United
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Arsenal x Manchester United Betting tips for December 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Manchester United, Wednesday, 4/12/2024
📅 4/12/2024
20:15
Arsenal Arsenal
1.50
X
4.33
Manchester United Manchester United
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arsenal x Manchester United:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Manchester United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-133.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 In the last 3 Manchester United matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Manchester United did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Manchester United has not lost any of them.
👉 Arsenal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Manchester United playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Arsenal x Manchester United for the England Premier League – 4 of December

🏟️ Arsenal X Manchester United – England Premier League
📅 4 of December, 2024 – 20:15
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 85.21% | Fair line: 1.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.72% | Fair line: 14.89
🔴 Manchester United – Winning probability: 8.07% | Fair line: 12.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arsenal and Manchester United.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232417 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Manchester United

Is betting on Arsenal worth it?

🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $425.00;
  • And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$275.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $233.10
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$696.90.

Is betting on Manchester United worth it?

🔴 Manchester United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $400.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Manchester United

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Arsenal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Arsenal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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