Arsenal x Wolverhampton Betting tips for December 13 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Wolverhampton, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 20:00

Arsenal 1.20

X 6.75

Wolverhampton 15.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arsenal x Wolverhampton:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Arsenal x Wolverhampton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $284.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Wolverhampton did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wolverhampton, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Arsenal is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Arsenal has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Wolverhampton.
👉 It is not a good time for Wolverhampton as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Arsenal vs Wolverhampton?

Lets analyze the match between Arsenal and Wolverhampton at Emirates Stadium, home of Arsenal, which has been showing impressive performance in recent home games. Arsenal scored 12 goals and conceded only 2 in their last five home matches, winning all of them. In contrast, Wolverhampton is in a very poor away form, with only 1 goal scored and 10 conceded in their last five away games in the Premier League.

The implied probabilities from the median odds indicate a strong favoritism for Arsenal: the home team win with an adjusted probability close to 80%, a draw around 15%, and an away win below 5%. This makes sense considering the recent statistics of the teams.

By calculating the fair odds based on statistics — considering average goals scored/conceded, shots on target, and possession — I see that Arsenal has a very high chance of winning (around 82%), while a draw is unlikely (about 13%) and an away victory for Wolves is almost remote (5%). The fair odds for Arsenal to win would be around @1.22; for a draw @7.7; for Wolves @20.

Compared to the final odds offered by bookmakers (@1.125 for Arsenal), there is little value in betting on the home team due to the low final odds; the draw (@8.5) might have some value considering the low risk associated with the estimated fair probability (~13%), but it’s still not ideal; betting on Wolves (@21) seems like a shot in the dark given their poor recent form.

The Bets Kenya model suggests an extremely low odds for Arsenal victory ([email protected]) and very high odds for a draw and Wolves (>70), indicating an underestimation of the risks of these alternative outcomes — I disagree with this exaggerated forecast because even with serious injuries in the London team, their offensive strength at home remains dominant.

Suggested Bet: Arsenal to win, but with little expected value due to the low final odds (positive EV but small). I would avoid risky bets on a draw or Wolves due to lack of solid evidence.

📰 News:
Arsenal faces a serious crisis with key injuries that could affect their defense, but maintains high confidence after recent wins in the Premier League and Champions League.
Wolverhampton, on the other hand, is experiencing a disastrous streak without away wins, along with a prolonged goal drought – a scenario that reinforces my pessimistic view of their chances here.

📈 Table analysis:
Arsenal is fighting for the Premier League title, maintaining a good lead despite recent fluctuations – this increases their motivation for crucial points.
Wolves are fighting relegation, with few points so far – enormous pressure but limited recent capacity outside against strong opponents like this game indicates more difficulties ahead.

Overall: I trust more in the actual statistics combined with current news that show a clear dominance of Emirates Stadium by Arsenal against the fragile away form.
Therefore, I am against the Bets Kenya model in this specific case! ⚽🔥

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Analysis from Arsenal x Wolverhampton for the England Premier League – 13 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arsenal x Wolverhampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news about Arsenal x Wolverhampton

Arsenal: Arsenal remains in the race for both the Premier League title and the Champions League, having regained a five-point lead after a 2-0 victory over Brentford, but saw this lead cut to two points after a 2-1 loss to Aston Villa, a result that prompted Gary Neville to warn the Gunners not to panic; the club is also facing a serious injury crisis, with 28 players unavailable — including three defenders (William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, and Cristhian Mosquera), striker Kai Havertz, and young Max Dowman — while manager Mikel Arteta is expected to speak to the press before the match against Villa and described the situation as a “really dangerous circle,” and despite setbacks, Arsenals confidence remains high, with Saliba stating they can win the league and their recent Champions League performance against Club Brugge highlighted a goal by Noni Madueke as they advance in Europe.

Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers has been experiencing a disastrous streak in the Premier League, earning only two points in 15 games and losing seven consecutive matches – the worst points tally after 14-15 games in the history of English top-flight football and tying their longest losing streak – with their most recent game on December 8, 2025, at Molineux ending in a 4-1 defeat to Manchester United, with Rob Edwards admitting his team “gifted” three goals to United and describing the performance as embarrassing, extending the goal drought to 495 minutes; injuries have also been a burden, with key defender João Gomes suspended and several new signings still adapting, while summer signings included Tolu Arokodare (£23.4m, Genk), Fer Lopez (£21.3m, Celta), Jhon Arias (£15m, Fluminense), David Moller Wolfe (£10m, AZ Alkmaar), Jackson Tchatchoua (£10.8m, Hellas Verona), and Ladislav Krejci on loan from Girona, and Edwards promised to intensify training in hopes of reversing the situation as Wolves seek to stabilize their defense and find the scoring touch for upcoming matches.

Table analysis for the match between Arsenal x Wolverhampton

Arsenal: Arsenal is leading the league with 33 points, 2 points ahead of second place, Manchester City. With this tight advantage, the match against Wolverhampton is crucial to maintain the lead and secure direct qualification for the Champions League. Every point counts in this final stretch to win the title, so the team needs to stay very focused to avoid losing ground in this fierce race. ⚽🏆

Wolverhampton: Wolverhampton is at the bottom of the table, with only 2 points earned throughout the competition and is already mathematically relegated. Therefore, the game against Arsenal does not impact the teams permanence or ranking for the season, making the match irrelevant to their league ambitions. It is another moment for the team to focus on rebuilding and planning for next year.

Summary: This game is very important for Arsenal, which fights to stay at the top and seek the Premier League title. For Wolverhampton, the confrontation is irrelevant from the table perspective, as the teams relegation is already decided.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Wolverhampton

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $196.00
• And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $57.50;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$932.50.

Is it worth betting on Wolverhampton?

🔴 Wolverhampton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 15.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Wolverhampton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Wolverhampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Arsenal.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Wolverhampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.