Aston Villa x Brentford Betting tips for December 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Brentford, Wednesday, 4/12/2024

📅 4/12/2024 20:15

Aston Villa 1.68

X 3.90

Brentford 4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aston Villa x Brentford:

🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $840.00!

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $2300.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

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The main points for the tip for Aston Villa x Brentford: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Brentford, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa x Brentford, with Aston Villa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Aston Villa has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Brentford playing at home.

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Analysis from Aston Villa x Brentford for the England Premier League – 4 of December

When the best bet on Aston Villa x Brentford is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232622 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Brentford

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 660 times – profiting $448.80;
• And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $232.00;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$688.00.

Is betting on Brentford worth it?

🔴 Brentford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $936.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$196.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Brentford

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Brentford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Aston Villa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Aston Villa.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Brentford

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.