Aston Villa x Brighton Betting tips for December 30 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Brighton, Monday, 30/12/2024

📅 30/12/2024 19:45

Aston Villa 1.95

X 3.80

Brighton 3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x Brighton:

🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $975.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Aston Villa x Brighton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $123.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Brighton, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa x Brighton, with Aston Villa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brighton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Brighton. 👉 Aston Villa is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Aston Villa has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Brighton playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Aston Villa x Brighton?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Aston Villa x Brighton for the England Premier League – 30 of December

When the best bet on Aston Villa x Brighton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240492 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Brighton

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 590 times – profiting $560.50;
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$150.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $672.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.00.

Should you bet on Brighton?

🔴 Brighton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $442.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Brighton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Aston Villa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Aston Villa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.