Aston Villa x Everton Betting tips for September 14 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Everton, Saturday, 14/9/2024

📅 14/9/2024 13:30

Aston Villa 1.46

X 4.45

Everton 6.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aston Villa x Everton:

🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $730.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Aston Villa x Everton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-185.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Everton, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Everton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa x Everton, with Aston Villa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Aston Villa conceded at least 2 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aston Villa x Everton?

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Analysis from Aston Villa x Everton for the England Premier League – 14 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aston Villa and Everton.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1179779 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x Everton

Is betting on Aston Villa worth it?

🔵 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $340.40;
• And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $724.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$65.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Everton?

🔴 Everton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $262.50;
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$687.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Everton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Everton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Aston Villa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Aston Villa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Everton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Everton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.