Aston Villa x Leeds Betting tips for February 21 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Leeds, Saturday, 21/2/2026

📅 21/2/2026 15:00

Aston Villa 1.77

X 3.62

Leeds 4.39

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x Leeds:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Aston Villa x Leeds

Some important points for the tip for Aston Villa x Leeds:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Leeds scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Leeds, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Leeds conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Leeds has not lost any of them.
👉 Aston Villa has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Leeds playing at home.

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Analysis from Aston Villa x Leeds for the England Premier League – 21 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Aston Villa x Leeds

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Aston Villa x Leeds.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Leeds

When the best bet on Aston Villa x Leeds is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482962 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $431.20;
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $602.60;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$167.40.

Is betting on Leeds worth it?

🔴 Leeds: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $711.90;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$78.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Leeds

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Leeds

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Aston Villa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Leeds.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Leeds

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Aston Villa x Leeds