Aston Villa x Southampton Betting tips for December 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Southampton, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 15:00

Aston Villa 1.39

X 5.00

Southampton 7.03

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x Southampton:

🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $695.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aston Villa x Southampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Southampton, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Southampton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Aston Villa x Southampton?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aston Villa x Southampton, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Aston Villa x Southampton for the England Premier League – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aston Villa x Southampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233239 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x Southampton

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $354.90
• And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$264.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Is it worth betting on Southampton?

🔴 Southampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $180.90
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$789.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Southampton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Southampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Aston Villa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Aston Villa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Southampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.