Bournemouth x Chelsea Betting tips for September 14 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Bournemouth x Chelsea, Saturday, 14/9/2024

📅 14/9/2024 16:00

Bournemouth 3.26

X 3.85

Chelsea 2.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bournemouth x Chelsea:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Important information for your tip for Bournemouth x Chelsea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-117.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bournemouth scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Chelsea matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Bournemouth x Chelsea?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bournemouth x Chelsea, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bournemouth x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 14 of September

When the best bet on Bournemouth x Chelsea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1179779 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bournemouth x Chelsea

Is it worth betting on Bournemouth?

🔵 Bournemouth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $497.20;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$282.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $684.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Chelsea?

🔴 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$107.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bournemouth x Chelsea

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Bournemouth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Bournemouth.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Chelsea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bournemouth x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.