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Home Β» Predictions Β» English Premier League Β» Bournemouth x Everton Betting tips for January 4 in England Premier League
Saturday, 04 January 2025, 15h00 England Premier League
Bournemouth Bournemouth
PREDICTION No tip
Everton Everton
Don't miss this prediction!

Bournemouth x Everton Betting tips for January 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Bournemouth x Everton, Saturday, 4/1/2025
πŸ“… 4/1/2025
15:00
Bournemouth Bournemouth
1.75
X
3.80
Everton Everton
4.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bournemouth x Everton:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bournemouth x Everton

Important information for your tip for Bournemouth x Everton:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Everton, Bournemouth scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bournemouth x Everton, with Bournemouth as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Bournemouth has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Everton playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bournemouth x Everton for the England Premier League – 4 of January

🏟️ Bournemouth X Everton – England Premier League
πŸ“… 4 of January, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Bournemouth – Winning probability: 61.81% | Fair line: 1.62
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.11% | Fair line: 4.97
πŸ”΄ Everton – Winning probability: 18.08% | Fair line: 5.53
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bournemouth x Everton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1241796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bournemouth x Everton

Is it worth betting on Bournemouth?

πŸ”΅ Bournemouth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $465.00;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$85.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$240.00.

Is it worth betting on Everton?

πŸ”΄ Everton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bournemouth x Everton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Everton

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Bournemouth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bournemouth.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Bournemouth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bournemouth x Everton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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