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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Bournemouth x Manchester City Betting tips for February 24 in England Premier League
Saturday, 24 February 2024, 17h30 England Premier League
Bournemouth Bournemouth
PREDICTION Manchester City Wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Manchester City Manchester City
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Bournemouth x Manchester City Betting tips for February 24 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Bournemouth x Manchester City, Saturday, 24/2/2024
📅 24/2/2024
17:30
Bournemouth Bournemouth
6.92
X
4.90
Manchester City Manchester City
1.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bournemouth x Manchester City:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Bournemouth x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-183.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $263.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Bournemouth conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Manchester City.
👉 Manchester City is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 7 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Manchester City won the last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bournemouth x Manchester City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bournemouth x Manchester City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bournemouth x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 24 of February

🏟️ Bournemouth X Manchester City – England Premier League
📅 24 of February, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Bournemouth – Winning probability: 4.68% | Fair line: 21.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.81% | Fair line: 12.81
🔴 Manchester City – Winning probability: 87.51% | Fair line: 1.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bournemouth x Manchester City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1063755 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bournemouth x Manchester City

Is it worth betting on Bournemouth?

🔵 Bournemouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $296.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$654.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $312.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$608.00.

Should you bet on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bournemouth x Manchester City

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Bournemouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Bournemouth.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bournemouth x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves