Bournemouth x Tottenham Betting tips for January 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Bournemouth x Tottenham, Wednesday, 7/1/2026

📅 7/1/2026 19:30

Bournemouth 2.11

X 3.70

Tottenham 3.19

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bournemouth x Tottenham:

🔮 Tottenham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tottenham, you can win up to $1595.00!

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Important information for your tip for Bournemouth x Tottenham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Bournemouth vs Tottenham:

Lets analyze the match between Bournemouth and Tottenham at Vitality Stadium, the legitimate home of Bournemouth, which has a capacity of about 11,300 fans, ensuring the home advantage for the Cherries.

📊 Recent statistics show that Bournemouth is in poor form: in the last 5 home games, they havent won any matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring an average of only 1 goal per game and conceding about 1 goal per game as well. The team has more ball possession (56%) and shots (15 per game) than the opponent, but struggles to convert this into positive results. Meanwhile, Tottenham away from home performs better: they won one of the last five away matches, scored fewer goals (average 0.6 goals in recent away games), but concede more goals (2 per game). Possession is lower for Spurs (43%), with fewer total shots.

⚽️ The median odds indicate approximate normalized implied probabilities: Bournemouth win ~47%, draw ~27%, Tottenham win ~26%. Considering balanced offensive stats but with a tactical advantage to the home team due to home advantage and greater possession, my fair estimate would be around:

• Bournemouth win: ~45%
• Draw: ~30%
• Tottenham win: ~25%

Adjusting the fair odds to reflect this tactical and technical analysis:

• Fair odds for Bournemouth: approximately 2.20
• Fair odds for draw: approximately 3.30
• Fair odds for Tottenham: approximately 4.00

Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers — Bournemouth win at 2.05; draw at 3.7; Tottenham win at 3.4 — do we have a positive expected value only on the away bet according to our initial calculation? Not exactly! The Bets Kenya model indicates a very small positive expected value for the visitors (+0.05%), but negative for the other options.

However, considering Tottenhams recent issues such as crowd boos after the draw against Sunderland and important squad changes like the recent departure of Brennan Johnson — while Bournemouth tries to bounce back despite a poor streak — I see little realistic chance for Spurs to win away against a team playing in their usual stadium.

Suggested Bet: Although the odds slightly favor the visitor or even high draws according to our pure mathematical model, I believe betting on Bournemouth to win or draw double chance for safety amid the visitors instability is more prudent here.
The expected value on simple wins is low or negative due to Bournemouths recent low offensive efficiency.

📰 Influential news:
Bournemouth faces financial difficulties but maintains focus on strengthening defense; Antoine Semenyo might leave this transfer window, increasing offensive uncertainties.
Tottenham faces internal pressure after recent boos and a significant midfield change with an expensive but uncertain adaptation.
These factors reinforce my cautious view on betting heavily on the visitor despite attractive odds.

📈 Table/morale analysis:
Bournemouth fights to escape the danger zone near the bottom of the Premier League table, trying to end a long winless streak;
Tottenham seeks moral recovery after recent setbacks within the higher expectations imposed on the club;
Both teams are highly motivated but recent instability favors the home team at this moment – vital to consider before purely numerical bets!

Overall, I partially agree with the Bets Kenya model regarding the clear difficulty for visitors to win here – I only disagree with the slight positive value assigned to their victory given the current emotional/tactical context.
Final tip: moderately bet on Bournemouth/draw double chance to minimize risks amid the uncertainties presented!

#Bets #PremierLeague #BournemouthVsTottenham ⚽🔥💰

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bournemouth x Tottenham?

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Analysis from Bournemouth x Tottenham for the England Premier League – 7 of January

Latest news on the match between Bournemouth and Tottenham

Bournemouth: Bournemouth entered the January 2026 transfer window in a strong financial position after a record summer of net spending, having sold Dean Huijsen to Real Madrid, Ilya Zabarnyi to Paris Saint-Germain, and Milos Kerkez to Liverpool, in addition to seeing defender Marcos Senesi and goalkeeper Adam Smith reach the end of their contracts; the club is actively seeking a new goalkeeper to challenge the recent signing of Djordje Petrovic for the starting spot and is targeting more defenders, with Brennan Johnson mentioned as a potential addition, and remains interested in keeping forward Antoine Semenyo, despite advanced negotiations by Manchester City to trigger his £65 million release clause – a deal that could be finalized between January 1 and 10 – while the Cherries’ on-field chances have declined, suffering a 3-2 defeat to Arsenal that extended their winless streak to eleven games and left the team hovering around 16th place in the Premier League table.

Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur was held to a 1-1 draw at home against Sunderland on January 4, 2026, with a late goal from Brian Brobbey securing a point and causing boos from the fans for the second consecutive match; coach Thomas Frank said the team showed good intent in the first half but failed to “kill the game” after being 2-0 down, while the club’s recent transfer activities saw Welsh winger Brennan Johnson leave for Crystal Palace in a record £35 million deal after few opportunities this season, and the arrival of midfielder Mohammed Kudus from West Ham for a reported fee of £55 million.

England Premier League table analysis for Bournemouth x Tottenham

Bournemouth: Bournemouth is in 15th place with 23 points and a negative goal difference of -7. With a relatively comfortable margin from the relegation zone, the team is not in imminent danger of dropping, but it is also far from the positions fighting for European competitions. Therefore, this match is important for Bournemouth to secure points to further distance itself from the danger zone and ensure its stay in the Premier League, making the game relevant to avoid a possible crisis in the near future.

Tottenham: Tottenham is in 13th place with 27 points, just 4 points ahead of Bournemouth and close to mid-table. Without real chances to compete for international spots at this moment, it is also outside the relegation zone. For Tottenham, this match offers the opportunity to increase the gap from the group fighting relegation and start seeking an improvement in position, being an important game to progress and build confidence, even if not decisive for titles or qualifications.

Summary: The match is important for both teams, mainly for Bournemouth to try to move away from the lower part of the table and for Tottenham to consolidate its advantage over those threatened by relegation. Neither team is directly involved in the fight for titles or international spots, but a victory could guarantee greater peace of mind for the rest of the season.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bournemouth x Tottenham

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bournemouth and Tottenham.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460156 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on Bournemouth?

🔵 Bournemouth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $488.40;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $648.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.00.

Is betting on Tottenham worth it?

🔴 Tottenham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $722.70
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$52.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bournemouth x Tottenham

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Tottenham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bournemouth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bournemouth. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bournemouth x Tottenham

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.