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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Brentford x Arsenal Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Premier League
Brentford Brentford
PREDICTION Arsenal Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Arsenal Arsenal
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Brentford x Arsenal Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Arsenal, Saturday, 25/11/2023
📅 25/11/2023
17:30
Brentford Brentford
4.30
X
3.80
Arsenal Arsenal
1.78

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brentford x Arsenal:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $890.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Brentford x Arsenal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Arsenal conceded at least 1 goal(s).

📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Brentford x Arsenal

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Brentford x Arsenal for the England Premier League – 25 of November

🏟️ Brentford X Arsenal – England Premier League
📅 25 of November, 2023 – 17:30
🔵 Brentford – Winning probability: 8.02% | Fair line: 12.46
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.51% | Fair line: 3.64
🔴 Arsenal – Winning probability: 64.47% | Fair line: 1.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brentford and Arsenal.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025623 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brentford x Arsenal

Should you bet on Brentford?

🔵 Brentford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $264.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$656.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $784.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is betting on Arsenal worth it?

🔴 Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $499.20;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$139.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Arsenal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Arsenal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Brentford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Brentford.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Arsenal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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