Brentford x Chelsea Betting tips for April 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Chelsea, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 13:00

Brentford 3.10

X 3.75

Chelsea 2.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Brentford x Chelsea:

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Brentford x Chelsea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0. 👉 In the last 4 Brentford matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brentford conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Brentford x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 6 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brentford x Chelsea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1296560 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brentford x Chelsea

Is it worth betting on Brentford?

🔵 Brentford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $924.00
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$364.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $577.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$212.50.

Is it worth betting on Chelsea?

🔴 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $385.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Chelsea

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Brentford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Brentford.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Brentford.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.