Brentford x Newcastle Betting tips for December 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Newcastle, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 15:00

Brentford 2.80

X 3.60

Newcastle 2.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brentford x Newcastle:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $1160.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Brentford x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $277.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brentford conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Brentford conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Newcastle. 👉 Even as a visitor, Newcastle won the last 3 head-to-head matches Brentford´s territory

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brentford x Newcastle?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Brentford x Newcastle:

Analysis from Brentford x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brentford x Newcastle right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233239 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brentford x Newcastle

Is betting on Brentford worth it?

🔵 Brentford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$188.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $520.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Should you bet on Newcastle?

🔴 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 510 times – profiting $673.20;
• And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Newcastle

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Brentford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Brentford.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Brentford.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.