Brentford x Newcastle Betting tips for May 19 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Newcastle, Sunday, 19/5/2024

📅 19/5/2024 15:00

Brentford 3.06

X 3.66

Newcastle 2.09

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brentford x Newcastle:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $1045.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Brentford x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 Brentford did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 Brentford matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Brentford x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 19 of May

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brentford and Newcastle.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1120517 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brentford x Newcastle

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔵 Brentford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $597.40
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $505.40
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$304.60.

Is betting on Newcastle worth it?

🔴 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $566.80;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$86.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Newcastle

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Brentford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Brentford. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.